David Eagleman, Neuroscientist and Author, on the Brain as a Neural Parliament, AI Hallucinations, and Rethinking Democracy with AI

00:16:33 · Dan TurchinPlay from here

Ad[00:16:33] S2: I'm proud to share details from today's sponsor. It is the AI Playbook, mastering the rare art of machine learning deployment, a wonderful book published by repeat guest on this podcast, doctor Eric Siegel, a prolific speaker, writer, professor, rapper, I dare say. It is a great read, very entertaining, very relatable. It presents the gold standard six step playbook for ushering predictive AI initiatives from concept to deployment. It is just coming out in paperback form. It's been a crowd pleaser since it launched a few years back, and you will so enjoy learning from the great doctor Eric Siegel. Go ahead and head out to bizml.com to get your copy of the AI playbook mastering the rare art of machine learning deployment from doctor Eric Siegel. Now back to today's amazing episode. We are gonna spend some... Not not Dave and Dan, but other people will spend somewhere around a trillion dollars on compute infrastructure, building up data centers and things in the next twelve months. And this conversation, and particularly, I'm so glad you referenced the brain running at 20 watts. It's just a reality check about, you I think you call it the three pound machine. Right? Yeah. The inner cosmos. Right? It's such a stark reminder about what's unique about the brain and why kinda synthetically generating them in data centers feels a little bit like a brute force approach, a little bit naive. What's your sense about the approach we're taking and kind of the... What I'll call brute force, you can choose to use a different term, but is that the best path to synthetically generating intelligence? I I I think I probably share the intuition that

00:18:28 · David Eagleman, Dan TurchinPlay from here

[00:18:28] S0: a lot of us have, which is that we're gonna build these data centers, and there will be scientific advances in the in the coming years that make them really obsolete. But that said, I'm sure there will be plenty of compute that we need for plenty of other things, so it'll get used somehow. But yes, maybe it'll turn out that we've got these giant data centers. I suspect that with many scientific trajectories you see this sort of thing. Just as an example, you know, I was in labs when the human genome project was really getting rolling, and people were spending a ton of money on these machines that pretty quickly became outdated, and now you can do sequencing with new tricks and techniques and just do it faster and better and cheaper. So this probably happens with everything. No exception here. By the way, we should mention that you studied with doctor Crick. That's right. That's right. He It [00:19:24] S2: was a little before your time, but you actually studied at Salk.

00:19:24 · Dan Turchin, David EaglemanPlay from here

[00:19:24] S2: was a little before your time, but you actually studied at Salk. [00:19:26] S0: Yeah. Exactly. I I did my postdoctoral fellowship at the Salk Institute. I studied with Francis Crick there, among other mentors, and it was... That was really a once in a lifetime experience for a young scientist because, I mean, yeah, for anyone who doesn't know, Francis Crick was the guy who co discovered the structure of DNA, but but then switched over by the by the nineteen nineties to try to figure out the brain. And it's a real opportunity for somebody like him. If you win the Nobel Prize when you're still young, you don't have any of the pressures of, oh, I gotta get this grant and run this lab and graduate these students and whatever. You just get to think big thoughts the rest of your life, and that's what he did. He was the most big thought thinking guy that I've ever had the pleasure to

00:19:26 · David Eagleman, Dan TurchinPlay from here

[00:19:26] S0: Yeah. Exactly. I I did my postdoctoral fellowship at the Salk Institute. I studied with Francis Crick there, among other mentors, and it was... That was really a once in a lifetime experience for a young scientist because, I mean, yeah, for anyone who doesn't know, Francis Crick was the guy who co discovered the structure of DNA, but but then switched over by the by the nineteen nineties to try to figure out the brain. And it's a real opportunity for somebody like him. If you win the Nobel Prize when you're still young, you don't have any of the pressures of, oh, I gotta get this grant and run this lab and graduate these students and whatever. You just get to think big thoughts the rest of your life, and that's what he did. He was the most big thought thinking guy that I've ever had the pleasure to [00:20:13] S2: hang out with. And your obituary about him was beautiful. Thank you. Beautiful writer. I'll share a link to that for the audience and appreciate it as well. Thanks. Right before you came off stage when we met, I think I interrupted you mid sandwich. Perfect timing. You gave this brilliant keynote at singularity.net. It's very thought provoking, kind of at the intersection of geopolitics and democracy and AI, and you you posed this question. I might paraphrase slightly, but you can, of course, correct me. Should we ask AI to help us lead, or should we ask AI to help lead us? Yeah. It's just very thought, but I've I've been thinking about it a lot. Maybe if you could just share a little bit about the thesis.

00:21:00 · David EaglemanPlay from here

[00:21:00] S0: Right. I've been thinking about this a lot too. I... Really, what I'm wondering is when are we gonna elect an AI as president? And when I first wrote this title down to make this talk for the Singularity Conference, I thought, you know, this this is sort of, how do I put this? It's sort of a splashy title and whatever, but hopefully I went through the talk very thoughtfully and constructed my argument carefully. I actually think this is inevitable, and it's going to happen much faster than any of us think. I'll just make up a number, but I think within twenty years, my argument is why would we be forced every time to vote for, let's say, Kamala or Donald when both of them are humans, full of flaws, full of tribalism and and, you know, a 100 reasons to do things that don't have to do with the nation but have to do with who their donors are and what they're trying to accomplish and they want to get reelected. All of us are humans with human flaws, right? And if you could have a system, which we already have, that can extract massive data patterns and simulate millions of possible future trajectories and figure out how to optimize things for a giant population, why wouldn't we be asking to be led by that? One of the things that I think is really special here, the more I thought through this, is this could finally democracy that we've ever had because Anthropic published a paper in March where they demonstrated that you could do qualitative research on people, where you interview people in real depth, and what they did is forty five minute interviews with people, 81,000 people, and of course the AI is just asking questions and digging in deep and so on. They really get to know these people. Imagine that, let's say, once a year, once every six months, each of us sits down with our individual agent to you, who quizzes you about everything. Hey, Dan, how do you feel about immigration, about economy, about this, manufacturing, and whatever, and taxes, and jobs? Asks you everything, and it gets to know you. It gets to know you very well what you care about. And by the way, there may be issues that you don't care about at all. Say, I don't care about that. This is cool. That's fine. Dan doesn't have really an opinion on that one.

00:23:18 · David EaglemanPlay from here

Then your agent and my agent and 350,000,000 other agents converge, and you get this thing that actually represents all of us and what we actually want. I mean, just as a side note, one of the things that I looked up when I was preparing that talk was how many write in votes happen. There are millions of write in votes every year. Mickey Mouse still is the winner, but Bart Simpson, Darth Vader, all this stuff. People are expressing their frustration when they do these write in votes. But I think we would get a lot less frustration because when people talk with AI, they do so with much more genuineness and honesty than they do with their fellow human. For ex... There's been lots of studies on this so far. You know, for example, if I'm debating something with a fellow human, I don't wanna look stupid. If I realize I'm getting cornered or whatever, maybe I make an excuse or whatever. I mean, everybody does this, but when you're talking with an AI and the AI brings something up, you say, oh, wow. I never thought about it that way. So we're much more likely to listen to AI and speak honestly with AI. We don't have to express frustration by doing silly things with AI. We can really have our agent get to know what our political opinions are. The way I think about this is I think we should have a big meeting with our agent once every six months or a year, but you can always check-in anytime. If you have a conversation with someone and change your mind, just come home and you tell your agent, Hey, by the way, I changed my mind on this point. I feel differently about abortion than I did, or gun control than I did. Great. Then it's representing that. Now imagine you have this system that's not trying to get reelected and please donors and not, you know, do public mistakes or whatever, and it just actually implements some sort of utilitarianism, which is trying to seek the maximum good for the most people, and you have a certain pedestal that you've put in place to make sure that it can't do any harm to people and it, you know, it keeps... You know, there's certain thresholds at the bottom that it has to maintain, and after that, it just tries to maximize things for everyone.