MTS
9 Nov · 17 min
Did Anthropic Cross Its RSI Warning Line? | Parv Mahajan
Did Anthropic Cross Its RSI Warning Line? | Parv Mahajan
METR Chief of Staff Parv Mahajan breaks down their new report assessing AI R&D acceleration inside Anthropic. He discusses finding a sustained 2x acceleration since late 2025, why public models hide this kink, the absence of near-term training compute bottlenecks, and why Anthropic likely crossed its own acceleration warning threshold. Check out our sponsor Lovable: https://lovable.dev Turn ideas into software people love. https://x.com/parvmahajan0 MTS is a live news and interview show covering technology, business, politics, and culture as it happens. Follow MTS: X | (https://twitter.com/MTSlive)https://twitter.com/MTSlive (https://twitter.com/MTSlive%E2%81%A0) YouTube | (https://www.youtube.com/@mtsituation)https://www.youtube.com/@mtsituation (https://www.youtube.com/@mtsituation%E2%81%A0) Spotify |https://open.spotify.com/show/4HUNNmV1pjV7CW6Lphm1rM Apple |https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mts/id1891088763 Substack | (https://mtslive.substack.com/)https://mtslive.substack.com/ (https://mtslive.substack.com/%E2%81%A0) Interested in sponsoring the show? sponsors@mts.now (mailto:sponsors@mts.now) – Brought to you by: Mongo DB - Anyone can prototype an agent. Learn how to get them into production on September 30th in New York - register at https://www.mongodb.com/events/mongodb-local/nyc Lovable - Turn ideas into software people love with Lovable. Start today at https://lovable.dev/ Larridin - Finally prove what your AI investment is worth. Head to https://larridin.com/ today to start measuring your AI’s bottom line. Neon (by Databricks) - Get up to $100K in credits for your startup at https://neon.com/mts (https://neon.com/mts%E2%81%A0) ElevenLabs - AI that communicates at human level across every channel and modality. https://elevenlabs.io/mts (http://elevenlabs.io/mts) Arena - Measuring AI performance in the real world. https://arena.ai/ (https://arena.ai/%E2%81%A0) Kong - The AI connectivity platform. Connect APIs, LLMs, agents, and systems with serious security and governance. https://konghq.com Today’s stream is sponsored by VCX, the public ticker for private tech. Head over to http://getvcx.com to learn more Blitzy - Autonomous software development for enterprise codebases. Ship 5x faster. https://blitzy.com AdQuick - Make your brand a billboard. Out-of-home advertising as easy to scale as digital. https://adquick.com Chargebee - Billing and monetization infrastructure for the AI era. https://www.chargebee.com/ – Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:53) What the Report Found (03:12) Evidence for Hyperbolic Growth (06:51) Near-Term Scaling Bottlenecks (08:19) Shifting Personal AGI Timelines (09:30) Anthropic’s Acceleration Warning Threshold (12:07) Interpreting 10X Uplift Polls (13:27) What the Public Should Know – Note: This podcast is not investment, legal, or tax advice, and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies and securities discussed; do your own research before acting on anything you hear.